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The Solar Supply Chain War: Geopolitics of PV Manufacturing

Perspective: Global Industrial Competition
Word Count: 650

Production Dominance Shifts

RegionPolysiliconWafersCellsModules
China (2024)97%98%85%75%
USA (Target)15%↑5%↑20%↑50%↑

Trade Policy Battles

  • U.S. Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act (UFLPA):

    • $2.3B solar imports detained at ports in 2023

  • EU Net-Zero Industry Act:

    • Mandates 40% domestic PV manufacturing by 2030

  • India’s PLI Scheme: $3.2B subsidies for local fabs

Raw Material Strategies

  • Silver reduction tech:

    • Heterojunction cells cut silver use 80% (Meyer Burger)

    • Copper plating adoption by 2026 (JinkoSolar)

  • Silicon self-sufficiency:

    • Wacker Chemie expands polysilicon capacity by 50% in Germany

Emerging Manufacturing Hubs

  • Southeast Asia:

    • Vietnam’s cell production: 38 GW in 2024 (up 300% since 2021)

  • Middle East:

    • Saudi Arabia’s $6.4B investment in 30 GW vertical PV factory

Decarbonization Pressures

  • Carbon footprint of Chinese modules: 700 kg CO₂/kW

  • REC’s Norway plant: 8 kg CO₂/kW using hydropower


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